Thursday, June 11, 2015

Diamondbacks at Dodgers, 6/10/2015


HP Gerry Davis
1B Tony Randazzo
2B Will Little
3B Phil Cuzzi


Dodgers: Anderson, Nicasio, Liberatore, Garcia, Howell, Jansen
Padres: Hellickson, Perez, Chafin, Delgado, Hudson

Zone Score & Game Score for Gerry Davis

Standard Strike-Zone
Dodgers v. LHH (DLSZ): +2
Dodgers v. RHH (DRSZ): -2

Diamondbacks v. LHH (OLSZ): +5
Diamondbacks v. RHH (ORSZ): 0

Adjusted Strike-Zone
Dodgers v. LHH (DLAZ): +1
Dodgers v. RHH (DRAZ): -4

Diamondbacks v. LHH (OLAZ): -4
Diamondbacks v. RHH (ORAZ): -2


Standard Strike-Zone Game Score: -5
Adjusted Strike-Zone Game Score: +3


Gerry Davis had a pretty large swing between his Standard SZ score and his Adjusted SZ score (+8). This is normally indicative of an umpire having a larger zone and calling strikes on the expanded corners of the Adjusted zone. Gerry Davis called seven strikes in the Adjusted SZ, six of them on the outside corner from D'Back pitching to LH Dodger hitters. The swing in score is the result of those being counted against him in one metric and not the other.

What does that tell us? After accounting for those six pitches, Davis called a game that slightly favored the Dodgers, capping a series of pretty good work from this crew calling balls and strikes.

For Dodger pitching against LH hitters, Davis' strike-zone was mostly consistent with only one call being a slight gift:

Strike 1 to Inciarte in the fifth (0-0 count, 0 out, nobody on, LI 0.59)

This pitch was on the very edge of the strike-zone and normally I wouldn't highlight it, but Davis was not giving many strikes there.

There were many more gifts/misses with RH hitters at the plate. Here are the big ones:

Strike 1 to Puig in the first inning (2-0 count, 1 out, nobody on, LI 0.64)

Strike 1 to Hellickson in the fourth inning (0-0 count, 2 outs, runner at 1B, LI 0.49)

Ball 1 to Callaspo in the sixth inning (0-1 count, 0 outs, nobody on, LI 0.76)

Davis missed five strikes in the lower portion of the zone. As I mentioned (and live tweeted), he was not giving the low strike. Here are the those misses:

Ball 3 to Pollock in the third inning (2-0 count, 0 outs, nobody on, LI 0.80)

Ball 1 to Ahmed in the fourth inning ( , 1 out, runner at 1B, LI 0.82)

Ball 1 to Rollins in the fourth inning (0-0 count, o outs, nobody on, LI 0.22)

Ball 1 to Pollock in the sixth inning (0-0 count, 2 outs, runners at 2B & 3B, LI 3.52)

Technically a ball, but a miss with Adjusted SZ

Ball 2 to Puig in the seventh inning (1-0 count, 0 outs, nobody on, LI 0.67)

Ball 1 to Pollock in the ninth inning (1-0 count, 0 outs, nobody on LI 2.76)

This call might have changed the game. Davis wasn't giving the low strike, so you can't fault him, but had this ball been called a strike, making the count 0-1 instead of 1-0, you could definitely make the argument that the next pitch would not have been a fastball over the heart of the plate and Pollock wouldn't have tied the game with a HR.

Close Calls & Reviews:

There were not any challenges or reviews in the game, marking a fifth straight game where the Dodgers or their opponents have not had a replay in the game. The Dodgers record on challenges is a paltry 3-13 so not having any in a while is probably a good thing...

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