Wednesday, June 24, 2015

Dodgers at Cubs, 6/23/2015


HP Paul Emmel
1B Jerry Meals
2B Andy Fletcher
3B Jordan Baker


Dodgers: Greinke, Nicasio, Liberatore, Garcia, Peralta, Jansen
Cubs: Hammel, Rondon, Strop, Motte

Zone Score & Game Score for Paul Emmel

Standard Strike-Zone
Dodgers v. LHH (DLSZ): +6
Dodgers v. RHH (DRSZ): +2

Cubs v. LHH (OLSZ): 0
Cubs v. RHH (ORSZ): +1

Adjusted Strike-Zone
Dodgers v. LHH (DLAZ): +2
Dodgers v. RHH (DRAZ): 0

Cubs v. LHH (OLAZ): -5
Cubs v. RHH (ORAZ): 0


Standard Strike-Zone Game Score: +7
Adjusted Strike-Zone Game Score: +7


In case you needed any more evidence that the Dodgers are struggling right now, look no farther than last nights DBR results compared to the game results. Not that our metric of evaluating fairness and advantages in the officiating of games should have a direct correlation to wins and losses, but Paul Emmel was very favorable to the Dodgers with his ball/strike calls last night and it didn't help.

Specifically, Emmel was favorable to the Dodgers by giving very few strike calls to LH Dodger hitters on the outside corner. Jimmy Rollins was given a few breaks in his at-bats and still ended up 0 for 4. Is it time for Seager, or even Kike everyday? Well, that isn't what this blog is about (but yes).

Emmel helped the Dodgers with the following (missed) calls:

Ball 1 to Pederson in the first inning (0-2 count, 1 out, nobody on, LI 0.61)

Ball 2 to Callaspo in the third inning (1-1 count, 0 outs, nobody on, LI 0.99)

Ball 3 to Rollins in the third inning (2-1 count, 0 outs, runner at 2B, LI 1.48)

Sidenote: This is one of the worst misses I have seen since starting the DBR project. Not sure how this was not called.

Ball 3 to Rollins in the sixth inning (2-1 count, 0 outs, nobody on, LI 1.34)

Ball 4 to Grandal in the ninth inning (3-1 count, 2 outs, runner at 1B, LI 2.19)

There were a few more misses, on top of four clear gifts to Dodger pitching, but ultimately these didn't help the Dodgers pull out a victory. Emmel called a game that heavily helped the Dodgers, arguably giving them three extra outs, two to Rollins in crucial at-bats.

Close Calls & Reviews:

In the bottom of the second inning, with two outs and nobody on, Cubs pitcher Jason Hammel hit a foul ball off of first base. Adrian tracked it, reached slightly over the tarp to catch the ball only to have a fan snag it instead. The Dodgers challenged and rightfully the call of fan interference was called resulting in out 3 to end the inning.

I was fairly vocal about this on Twitter (@dodgerblureview), expressing my disgust with this guy. Not only are you risking the ball hitting your newborn, or for all anyone knew Adrian leaping into into the stands (ala Jeter or Justin Sellers), you are breaking a league-wide rule of interfering with a ball in play. A decade ago a guy pretty much lost his ability to live in Chicago because he did the exact same thing (albeit a slightly different scenario).  So not only did the Chicago Cubs security allow the guy to remain in his seat, he was lauded as some sort of folk hero, AND for the next few outs of the game, ignored the play on the field to look at his phone, risking his poor infant taking another foul ball to the head.

Let me ask this simple question: What would have been the result if Hammel hit a screaming line-drive foul instead of a lazy pop-up? What if it is this ball:
Instead of how it actually played out?

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